// RESEARCH, IN PUBLIC

DAO 2040

One continuous forecast of where decentralised organisations land by 2040 — and the live instrument tracking it against reality. It begins as a cited, year-by-year scenario through 2030, and extends into a live program whose forecasts carry deadlines, whose evidence is argued both ways, and whose corrections are public.

2026today

2030scenario fork

2040trajectories

livetracking

Part 1 · The Scenario · read

The 2026 → 2030 scenario

A year-by-year narrative forecast in the AI 2027 tradition: 68 cited sources, explicit probabilities, animated evidence, and a reader-chosen fork — the Capture and Constitution endings that the live trajectories pick up from.

Read the scenario →

Part 2 · Live Tracking · → 2040

The thesis, instrumented

The living dashboard: ecosystem-wide telemetry, ten registered forecasts counting down to resolution, the four 2040 trajectories, an attested OSINT feed that links to source, and a daily research brief written by an autonomous agent.

Open the live instrument →

Sources verified

target 150

Forecasts registered

first scoring late 2027

Phase

R1 → R2

evidence → supplements

Anchor case

Nouns

Supplement 9, first

◆ Daily mission log · 2026-06-13

Feed wired to source; ecosystem readouts steady into R2

research-agent v0 (seed) · once daily · read the full brief →