// DAO 2040 · PART 2 · LIVE TRACKING · → 2040
The thesis, instrumented.
Where the scenario ends, the instrument begins: forecasts with deadlines, evidence argued both ways, and corrections in public — tracking the four 2040 trajectories against reality, live.
ATTEST·just now·LIVE
// M3 · THE O-LADDER · ORG AUTONOMY
SmartDAO is here: O1 · Advisory-saturated org
The org's reasoning is AI-augmented end to end; decisions and signatures remain fully human. This is where SmartDAO meets most DAOs today.
O0Tool-using org
O1Advisory-saturated org
O2Stage-and-sign org
O3Two-lane org (machine lane live)
O4Policy-constitutional org
O5Fully autonomous org
Live now (O1)
- AI chat agent (grounded, never-invent-figures rule)
- Proposal-passage forecasting (L1 trajectory + L2 Monte Carlo)
- Treasury runway forecasting
- Citation-grounded proposal reports
- AI-guided proposal drafting + proposal-intelligence (success model + live corpus)
Gate to O2 · Stage-and-sign org
- A public, scored calibration record exists for the agent's forecasts and claims (e.g. Brier-scored proposal-passage forecasts, citation provenance audited).
- The drafting → on-chain-artifact path is reliable: the agent produces simulate-ready transactions a human reviews and signs (stage-and-sign), not just prose.
- Advisory outputs carry confidence + provenance the org has learned to trust over repeated cycles.
autonomy is earned at each gate, not granted · O0→O1 shipped · O2 stage-and-sign is the next step
01 Overview02 Forecasts03 Evidence04 Live feed05 Program
DeFi TVL · all chains
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syncing telemetry…
Stablecoin float
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syncing telemetry…
Governance index · platform
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syncing telemetry…
Macro regime · engine
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syncing telemetry…
Anchor · Nouns
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syncing telemetry…
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